{"id":720,"date":"2021-11-24T12:06:18","date_gmt":"2021-11-24T15:06:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/porthosinternational.com.br\/blog\/?p=720"},"modified":"2021-11-22T12:12:25","modified_gmt":"2021-11-22T15:12:25","slug":"fretes-continuarao-com-precos-altos-ate-2023-segundo-agencia","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/porthosinternational.com.br\/blog\/fretes-continuarao-com-precos-altos-ate-2023-segundo-agencia\/","title":{"rendered":"Fretes continuar\u00e3o com pre\u00e7os altos at\u00e9 2023, segundo ag\u00eancia."},"content":{"rendered":"

A redu\u00e7\u00e3o dos pre\u00e7os dos fretes n\u00e3o ir\u00e1 acontecer t\u00e3o cedo no mundo inteiro, segundo alguns estudos e previs\u00f5es. Segundo a agencia especializada em transporte mar\u00edtimo Sea-Intelligence, deve levar ainda entre 18 e 30 meses at\u00e9 que os fretes voltem a um patamar \u201cnormal\u201d.<\/p>\n

Para entender este estudo \u00e9 necess\u00e1rio compreender os n\u00edveis pr\u00e9-pand\u00eamicos do CCFI (China Containerized Freight Index, \u00edndice baseado nos fretes de 12 rotas internacionais) desde 1998.<\/p>\n

Foram encontrados cinco per\u00edodos em que o frete teve baixas longas (em vermelho no gr\u00e1fico abaixo) e cinco per\u00edodos de aumentos sucessivos (em verde).<\/p>\n

\"Fonte:
Fonte: Sea-Intelligence<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Levando em conta esses per\u00edodos, a Sea-Intelligence encontrou m\u00e9dias de queda semanal variando entre -0,4% e -0,9%. Essa baixa maior houve durante a crise financeira global de 2008-2009.<\/p>\n

Na m\u00e9dia de -0,9% semanal, demoraria cerca de 18 meses para que os fretes retornassem aos n\u00edveis pr\u00e9-pand\u00eamicos. Por\u00e9m, a crise do fim da d\u00e9cada retrasada foi um cen\u00e1rio bastante at\u00edpico para ser algo no qual se basear.<\/p>\n

Se o c\u00e1lculo levar em conta as m\u00e9dias de baixas apresentadas em conjunto nesses cinco per\u00edodos de recuo mostrados em vermelho no gr\u00e1fico, levaria cerca de 26 meses para que os fretes voltassem a algo pr\u00f3ximo do normal nos seus pre\u00e7os.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Por\u00e9m vale lembrar que o \u00e1pice de pre\u00e7os registrado atualmente \u00e9 muito maior do que j\u00e1 registrado anteriormente, e que ele vem depois de uma s\u00e9rie muito longa de aumentos. Levando tamb\u00e9m em conta a for\u00e7a dessa \u00faltima longa subida, a ag\u00eancia calcula cerca de 30 meses para o retorno \u00e0 normalidade.<\/p>\n

Essa normalidade para o CCFI, segundo a ag\u00eancia, seria um \u00edndice com frete pr\u00f3ximo ao n\u00edvel 1000, considerando tamb\u00e9m a m\u00e9dia hist\u00f3rica.<\/p>\n

Confira o site da Sea-Intelligence<\/a> para mais detalhes.<\/p>\n

Porblemas com fretes? Conte com a Porthos International<\/h2>\n

Preocupado com o aumento dos fretes? N\u00e3o se preocupe, conta com profissionais qualificados e especializados na \u00e1rea de transporte mar\u00edtimo. A Porthos conta com mais de 20 anos de experiencia e pode te ajudar. Entre em contato conosco e saiba como podemos te ajudar.<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

A redu\u00e7\u00e3o dos pre\u00e7os dos fretes n\u00e3o ir\u00e1 acontecer t\u00e3o cedo no mundo inteiro, segundo alguns estudos e previs\u00f5es. Segundo a agencia especializada em transporte mar\u00edtimo Sea-Intelligence, deve levar ainda entre 18 e 30 meses at\u00e9 que os fretes voltem a um patamar \u201cnormal\u201d. Para entender este estudo \u00e9 necess\u00e1rio compreender os n\u00edveis pr\u00e9-pand\u00eamicos do […]\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":722,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[124,73],"tags":[129,178,179,131,111],"class_list":["post-720","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-blog","category-noticia","tag-frete-internacional","tag-fretes","tag-preco-do-frete","tag-transporte-de-cargas","tag-transporte-internacional"],"yoast_head":"\nFretes continuar\u00e3o com pre\u00e7os altos at\u00e9 2023, segundo ag\u00eancia.<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"A redu\u00e7\u00e3o dos pre\u00e7os dos fretes n\u00e3o ir\u00e1 acontecer t\u00e3o cedo no mundo inteiro, segundo alguns estudos e previs\u00f5es. 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